The Art of Thinking Clearly - Deepstash

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Why You Should Visit Cemeteries

Why You Should Visit Cemeteries

On your journey to success, it's easy to look at the successful person and judge how easy success is. But you don't consider the fact that thousands of people just like you are also persuing the same thing. How many of them actually made it till the end?


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<p>Be it a musician, a writer,...

Be it a musician, a writer, or anything you aspire to become, you will only come accross the names of people who succeeded in their lives. But you'll never come across the burial grounds which houses 10,000 times more aspirants who couldn't make it to the finish line.


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<p>The media is not interested...

The media is not interested in digging around in the graveyards of the unsuccessful. Nor is this it's job. To elude the Survivorship bias, you must do the digging yourself.


635 reads

In daily life, because triumph is made more visible than failure, you systematically overestimate your chances of succeeding. As an outsider, you succumb to an illusion, and you mistake how minuscule the probability of success really is


608 reads

<p>Survivorship bias means thi...

Survivorship bias means this : people systematically overestimate their chances of success. Guard against it by frequently visiting the graves of once-promising projects, investments and careers.

It's a sad walk, but one that should clear your mind


613 reads



Rolf Dobelli talks here about Survivorship Bias, how it affects our decision making and actual percentage of success.

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