kaus2bh 's Key Ideas from The Art of Thinking Clearly
by Rolf Dobelli

The media is not interested in digging around in the graveyards of the unsuccessful. Nor is this it's job. To elude the Survivorship bias, you must do the digging yourself.

In daily life, because triumph is made more visible than failure, you systematically overestimate your chances of succeeding. As an outsider, you succumb to an illusion, and you mistake how minuscule the probability of success really is

Survivorship bias means this : people systematically overestimate their chances of success. Guard against it by frequently visiting the graves of once-promising projects, investments and careers.

It's a sad walk, but one that should clear your mind