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Our brain likes to take shortcuts to solve a problem when normal methods are too slow to find a solution.
The problem with this approach is that frightening events are easier to recall than every-day events. We should be aware that alarmist news broadcasts don't help in an accurate sense of events.
We have a tendency to stubbornly hold on to a number once we hear it and gauge all other numbers based on the initial number, even if the information is not that relevant.
For example, if customers are limited to 'four per customer' they are more likely to buy four, even if they did not initially intend to do so.
SIMILAR ARTICLES & IDEAS:
Most decision-making errors boil down to:
If you already have an opinion about something before you've even tried to figure it out, chances are you'll over-value information that confirms that opinion.
Think about what kinds of information you would expect to find to support alternative outcomes.
The “fundamental attribution error,” is when we excuse our own mistakes but blame other people for theirs.
Give other people the chance to explain themselves before judging their behavior.
Each day, we automatically make thousands of choices, from what time to wake up to what to eat.
The problem with this automatic processing is that there are instances when we jump to concl...
Sunk-cost fallacy. Present yourself with the new options at hand -- without considering the sunk cost.
Narrow framing. When we're in situations that will repeat themselves over time, we should take a step back and play a game of averages.
Emotionally driven decisions. Hold off on making important decisions when you are in a bad mood.
Confirmation bias. Always look for conflicting evidence and then make judgments based on more well-rounded information.
Ego depletion. When we're drained, physically or mentally, we're less likely to think critically.
The halo effect says that once we like somebody, we're more likely to look for his or her positive characteristics and avoid the negative ones. Realize your biases toward certain people and do what you can to eliminate them.
...are common thinking errors that harm our rational decision-making.
We don't always see things as they are. We don't simply glean information through the senses and act on it; inste...
Is our tendency to overestimate the odds of our own success compared to other people's.
Overly optimistic predictions can be dangerous, leading us to waste time and resources pursuing unrealistic goals. In the real world of business, things don't always work out for the best, and it serves us well to know when conditions are not on our side.