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Understanding probability will help you get **a more correct picture of the world and help you make better decisions**.

Most of us fall prey to the same handful of issues because aspects of probability go against what we think is intuitive.

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**When two event are interconnected, the former happening increases or decreases the probability of the latter happening**.

*Your car insurance gets more expensive after an accident because car accidents are not independent events. A person who gets in one is more ...*

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In Naked Statistics, Charles Wheelan explains: *âA different kind of mistake occurs when events that are independent are not treated as such . . . If you flip a fair coin 1,000,000 times and get 1,000,000 heads in a row, the probability of getting heads on the next flip is still 1/2. The very ...*

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**While particular improbable events are improbable, the chance of any improbable event happening at all is highly probable**.

- Your chances of getting struck by lightning are almost zero. But with so many people walking around and so many storms, it has to happen to s...

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