Most analysts agree that historically the stock market has returned an average of 7% — 10% per year over the last 100+ years.
Now, the first thing to understand is that 7% — 10% is an average return over long stretches of time. It’s not what you should actually expect to return each year.
For example, in 2008 the S&P 500 (a collection of the 500 biggest companies on the market) returned a devastating -38.5% loss as the stock market crashed. The very next year, it rallied for a strong +23.5% return.
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The three most widely followed indexes in the U.S. are the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Composite.
An index is simply a collection (or "basket") of stocks. An ETF allows trading an index just like a stock. The best-known indexes are:
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