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Optimistic and pessimistic views

Optimistic and pessimistic views

Sceptics like economist Robert J. Gordon states that today's artificial intelligence is mainly a pattern recognition technology. While its feats are impressive, it is not transformational in the way electricity and the internal combustion engine were.

Others are more optimistic about productivity from innovations like cloud computing and artificial intelligence. Erik Brynjolfsson, director of Stanford University's Digital Economy Lab, says that while the productivity pickup is not yet evident, it may be just a matter of time.

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Artificial technology is not transformational as expected

Economies grow not only by adding capital and labour. Another vital ingredient to economic growth is the ability to commercialise innovation, which makes investment and workers more productive. A small percentage gain in productivity can significantly impact a country's wealth over time. 

W...

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Productivity across the economy is elusive

Productivity across the economy is elusive

For years, it has been an accepted belief that cloud computing and artificial intelligence will fuel a surge in wealth-generating productivity. This belief caused a flood of venture funding and company spending. The payoff is supposed to benefit the entire economy, but that hasn't happened yet.

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New technologies take time to spread

Anthem,  a health insurer whose plans cover more than 45 million people, said digital technology had spared its call centres from having to answer an estimated 10 million customer service calls.

Building the technical capability is just the beginning. It takes time for new technolo...

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