We think future possibilities are affected by past events, even though they are independent.
Ex: "Ankur is tossing the coin and heads have come up 9 times. Now it will tail for sure."
205
1.77K reads
CURATED FROM
IDEAS CURATED BY
An ordinary boy who is indiscriminately passionate about many things, develops the frontend of websites, a graphics designer, a bibliophile, Loves to learn and grow, and write. | In search of infinity!
I wish we were taught about these biases in school, in addition to what school taught us. These biases prepare us for life in more ways than the curriculum does. - Ankur Warikoo
“
The idea is part of this collection:
Learn more about personaldevelopment with this collection
How to manage workplace stress
How to prioritize and make better decisions
How to learn anything fast
Related collections
Similar ideas to 11. 💰Gambler's Fallacy
The random walk hypothesis says a stock’s past price movements are of absolutely no help in predicting future movements. In other words, it’s a random pro cess, like tossing a coin. We all know that even if a coin has come up heads ten times in a row, the probability of h...
It is a glitch in our thinking that occurs when we place too much weight on past events, believing that they will have an effect on future outcomes.
There’s an extreme positivity bias toward the future: we think that future events are more important to our identity than the past events.
But we have to temper our expectations and keep in mind that no matter the degree in which we can dream up detailed scenes of things yet to come,
Read & Learn
20x Faster
without
deepstash
with
deepstash
with
deepstash
Personalized microlearning
—
100+ Learning Journeys
—
Access to 200,000+ ideas
—
Access to the mobile app
—
Unlimited idea saving
—
—
Unlimited history
—
—
Unlimited listening to ideas
—
—
Downloading & offline access
—
—
Supercharge your mind with one idea per day
Enter your email and spend 1 minute every day to learn something new.
I agree to receive email updates