To Painstakingly Form An Idea And Then Cold-bloodedly Kill It.

The work required to have an opinion is the hard part, that’s why people avoid it.

You have to do the reading.

You have to talk to competent people and understand their arguments.

You have to think about the key variables and how they interact over time.

You have to listen and chase down arguments that run counter to your views.

You have to think about how you might be fooling yourself.

You have to see the issue from multiple perspectives.

You have to think. You need to become your most intelligent critic and have the intellectual honesty to kill some of your best-loved ideas.