How the availability heuristic misleads us - Deepstash
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How the availability heuristic misleads us

There is no real link between how memorable something is and how likely it is to happen. In fact, the opposite is often true. Unusual events stand out more and receive more attention than commonplace ones. As a result, the availability heuristic skews our perception of risks in two key ways:

We overestimate the likelihood of unlikely events. And we underestimate the likelihood of likely events.

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MORE IDEAS ON THIS

Narratives are more memorable than disjointed facts

There’s a reason why cultures around the world teach important life lessons and values through fables, fairy tales, myths, proverbs, and stories.

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The availability heuristic

 We tend to judge the likelihood and significance of things based on how easily they come to mind. The more “available” a piece of information is to us, the more important it seems

The result is that we give greater weight to information we learned recently because a news...

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299 reads

William James

“The attention which we lend to an experience is proportional to its vivid or interesting character, and it is a notorious fact that what interests us most vividly at the time is, other things equal, what we remember best.”

WILLIAM JAMES

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How to overcome the availability heuristic

  • Always consider base rates when making judgments about probability.
  • Whenever possible, base your judgments on trends and patterns—the longer term, the better.
  • Take the time to think before making a judgment. Stop and go throu...

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Behavioral economics

It is a field of study bringing together knowledge from psychology and economics to reveal how real people behave in the real world.

  • This is in contrast to the traditional economic view of human behavior, which assumed people always behave in accordance with rational,...

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IDEAS CURATED BY

carson_

Running away from your problems is a race you`ll never win.

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Other curated ideas on this topic:

The availability heuristic

 We tend to judge the likelihood and significance of things based on how easily they come to mind. The more “available” a piece of information is to us, the more important it seems

The result is that we give greater weight to information we learned recently because a news...

Our selective memory

Our selective memory

We tend to overestimate the importance of events we can easily recall and underestimate the importance of events we have trouble recalling. 

The easier it is to remember, the more likely we are to create a strong relationship between two things that are weakly related or not related ...

151 Cognitive Biases

Attentional Bias: subconsciously we choose points where we pay attention to. A smoker is more likely to notice other people smoking.

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