Can you learn to navigate uncertainty?

New research on the accuracy of future predictions by people has some interesting findings:

• Experts, largely considered an authority, fared poorly than the novices, due to their overestimating their abilities, something known as the Dunning Kruger Effect.
• People who considered themselves more experienced or educated turned out to be closed-minded and more unlikely to learn from others, leading to a myopic or distorted view of the world around them.

Past experience, which many experts think helps them to better understand the world, surprisingly does not improve the ability to predict the future. The research data showed accuracy levels of the younger generation (25 to 35 years of age) being the highest.

Old people are slower to comprehend change, faster to believe and share fake news and less likely to be objective.