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Cherry picking
It is a logical fallacy and it happens when we choose and focus only on evidence that supports our views and argumentsĀ while ignoring anything that may contradict us.
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The problem with cherry picking
- It fails to take into consideration all the available information
- It presents information in a misleading way.
- It might lead to improper analysis and might cause someone to paint a misleading picture of a certain outcome.
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The principle of total evidence
Also referred to asĀ Bernoulliās maxim, it states that,Ā when assessing the probability that a certain hypothesis is true, we must take into account all the available information.
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Why we cherry-pick information
- Intentional: people that use intentionally cherry picking in their arguments because doing so makes their arguments more persuasive.
- Unintentional: driven by the flawed manner in which humans process information and make decisions.
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How to respond to cherry picking
- Expose the fallacious reasoning:Ā point out the fact that your opponent is ignoring crucial information which should be taken into account, and explain why this is a problem.
- Bring omitted information into consideration: discuss the information which was omitted, and show how taking it into account changes the situation at hand.
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How to avoid cherry picking
- Ask yourself: āIs there any additional evidence or possible interpretations of existing evidence that I should be considering?ā
- Avoid forming a hypothesis too early on, before youāve had a chance to look at all the available information.
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