The Hindsight Bias
A bias that many people including historians, experts and physicians encounter is the hindsight bias, which makes them think they knew how an event would turn out before it happened. It is the tendency for people to perceive past outcomes as having been more predictable than they actually were.
This phenomenon has been linked to distortion of memory, which unconsciously makes us understand the world based on our outlook.
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Hindsight Bias
Hindsight bias is a false belief that our judgement is better than it actually is when we look back and see the events. Reality appears more predictable after an event happens. This is also known as the ‘Knew-it-all-along effect’.
This bias makes people less accountable fo...
The many faces of the memory bias
- Rosy retrospection bias. We often remember the past as having been better than it really was.
- Consistency bias. We wrongly remember our past attitudes and behaviour as similar to our present attitudes and behaviour.
- Mood-congruent ...
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