Alternative Hypotheses For Hindsight Bias

For protection from the hindsight bias, we can discipline ourselves to make explicit decisions based on actual, known facts, in a recorded process.

Having an explicit, written documentation can ensure that we and the external observers were objective in the decision, and ...

We can see clearly a causal relationship from a series of event in retrospect, even though during the time those events were happening it’s totally unpredictable.

For example, after each election we hear people rationalize whatever the result, even though it’s 50-50 before the election or c...

This is the failure to recognize the impact of bias on your own judgment.

Despite the extensive research and data supporting the existence of our cognitive biases, many of us disagree and even ignore the effects of bias in our lives even when we’re fully aware of it.