Dealing With Uncertainty - Deepstash

Dealing With Uncertainty

Very few ideas are absolutely true. You want to get as close to the truth as you can with the available information.

  • Use "grey thinking". It is the ability to put things on a gradient from "probably true" to "probably false".
  • Bayesian updating. Start with priori odds (knowledge based on previous experience), and update the odds based on what you learn thereafter.

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Sometimes the most important life lessons are the ones we end up learning the hard way.

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