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Why predicting our future feelings is so difficult
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Mistakes in predicting our future feelings
We are not very good at guessing how we'll feel in the future. In predicting how we will feel in the future, we commonly use the past experience as a guide.
But our brain favours the extreme and most recent events. We tend to focus on the main features of an event and less on the journey to get there. This means that we won't always make the best decisions about our lives.
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Overestimating our future emotions
We overestimate the strength of our emotions in the future.
Studies show that people overestimated their happiness at winning and their disappointment at losing because they forgot all the other things that would happen in a day that would influence their mood.
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Feelings are not long-lasting
A lottery winner, for instance, won't spend every day celebrating their win. Nor will someone with a disabling accident spend all their time in shock.
When imagining either situation, we like to think that the feelings will be long-lasting. We forget that we will adapt and that the feeling will eventually wear off.
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How we can make good decision
- When we have a decision to make, it is recommended to solicit the views of people who have had the experience you're considering.
- We can also ask the opinions of those around us since people tend to take a longer-term view when thinking about other people's choices.
- The kind of questions we ask is also important. Instead of asking if you should take the new job, ask what they think your day-to-day life will be like if you take it.
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Change And The Brain
Our brain makes strong connections based on repetitive thoughts and actions in order to expend less energy. Change makes your brain diverge from those established connections, so it resists....
Make Change Stick Around
Acknowledge what you want to change, observe and wonder why you are the way you are.
When you catch yourself repeating an unwanted habit, stop, remember you’re doing it out of habit and that it isn’t the right thing to do.
Refocus
Label your negative habit as a symptom of something deeper. Get to know your false beliefs. Ask, “Why do I behave or think this way? ”.
Once you notice yourself engaging in the habit, refocus on a positive, wholesome, ideally pleasure-giving activity.
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Affective forecasting
It refers to how we predict our future emotions and how certain life events will affect them.
We’re generally pretty bad at it—and that impacts our productivity, our goal setting, and ...
We're bad at predicting our feelings
The main barriers to accurate affective forecasting:
- Impact Bias: Your tendency to overestimate the intensity and duration of future emotions.
- Projection Bias: However you feel in the present, you tend to project that onto the future.
- Focalism: When picturing an event in the future, you tend to focus only on that event, to the exclusion of everything else that may happen.
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Motivation Through Watching Sports
Sports are huge, and gather millions, if not billions of audience eager to watch its many forms, like football, tennis, basketball, or cricket.
Many people would feel motivated to work out,...
From Audience To Athletes
Many committees and sports organizations anticipate that the population would watch the sports and become more active physically and to an extent, it does motivate a small percentage of people to change their lifestyle for the better.
The 1992 Barcelona Olympics showed that people taking part in sports increased to about 4 percent in the span of 6 years, but that has been an exception, where the methodology of the statistics is in question.
The Opposite Effect Of Sports
Most people would not even want to go out on a sunny day when the game is on, instead gathering snacks to watch it on the LED screen.
We cannot expect them to take up sports, just like we don’t expect people to start singing after watching a concert, or take up acting lessons after watching a movie.