Hindsight bias
Hindsight bias is when we see past events as being predictable. But that is because we now know what happened.
When you give feedback to a person about something he did, you know the facts. That means how you frame your criticism can be distorted. You might have done the same thing if you were in his position at the time.
When you create a change in your organisation that has a positive outcome, you may say you knew it all along. But in the long run, we start to think our predictions are perfect, and we may think we don't need to learn more.
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7 Mental Models for Learning To Understand More Than The bare Minimum
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The mental models for learning are your weapons to help you understand more than the basics.
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Hindsight Bias
Hindsight bias is a false belief that our judgement is better than it actually is when we look back and see the events. Reality appears more predictable after an event happens. This is also known as the ‘Knew-it-all-along effect’.
This bias makes people less accountable fo...
The Hindsight Bias
A bias that many people including historians, experts and physicians encounter is the hindsight bias, which makes them think they knew how an event would turn out before it happened. It is the tendency for people to perceive past outcomes as having been more predictable ...
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For protection from the hindsight bias, we can discipline ourselves to make explicit decisions based on actual, known facts, in a recorded process.
Having an explicit, written documentation can ensure that we and the external observers were objective in the decision, and ...
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