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The Art of Thinking Clearly

The Art of Thinking Clearly

by Rolf Dobelli

Introduction- Cognitive errors

It's very common that each and every one of us makes mistakes, what the author, Rolf Dobelli says, experts call as cognitive errors.

Some of these errors are:

  • We overestimate our knowledge more often
  • Fear of losing, drives us much more than gaining something of s...

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Although this book may not hold the key to happiness, at the very least it acts as insurance against too much unhappiness.

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Survivorship Bias

This bias or error is about how one can systematically overestimate their chances of success. The probability of your start up being successful, of you becoming a royalty winning writer or becoming the next Led Zeppelin are next to zero, and yet, we ignore it. The reason we ignore it is ...

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Swimmer's body illusion

  • Cosmetics products are sold by beautiful models and the products have no causal effect on their good looks
  • Good universities are good because they take good students in and not the other way around
  • And the main analogy from which the error ge...

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Clustering Illusion

We tend to try to see patterns where none exist

  • Patterns in clouds
  • Faces in food
  • Patterns in stokc markets

There are lot of stuff in which we may think there is a pattern but more often than not theu are just conicidental.

Humans are oversens...

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